Reagan and Afghan Mujahideen. |
In order to understand the hype surrounding the phenomena of
Islamic radicalism and terrorism, we need to understand the prevailing global
economic order and its prognosis. What the pragmatic economists have forecasted
about the free market capitalism has turned out to be true; whether we like it
or not. A kind of global economic entropy has set into motion. The money is
flowing from the area of high monetary density to the area of low monetary
density.
The rise of the BRICS countries in the 21st
century is the proof of this tendency. BRICS are growing economically because
the labor in developing economies is cheap; labor laws and rights are virtually
nonexistent; expenses on creating a safe and healthy work environment are
minimal; regulatory framework is lax; expenses on environmental protection are
negligible; taxes are low; and in the nutshell, windfalls for the multinational
corporations are huge.
Thus, BRICS are threatening the global economic monopoly of
the Western capitalist bloc: that is, North America and Western Europe. Here we
need to understand the difference between the manufacturing sector and the
services sector. The manufacturing sector is the backbone of the economy; one
cannot create a manufacturing base overnight. It is based on hard assets: we
need raw materials; production equipment; transport and power infrastructure;
and last but not the least, a technically-educated labor force. It takes
decades to build and sustain a manufacturing base. But the services sector,
like the Western financial institutions, can be built and dismantled in a
relatively short period of time.
If we take a cursory look at the economy of the Western
capitalist bloc, it has still retained some of its high-tech manufacturing base,
but it is losing fast to the cheaper and equally robust manufacturing base of
the developing BRICS nations. Everything is made in China these days, except
for hi-tech microprocessors, softwares, a few internet giants, some pharmaceutical
products, the Big Oil and the all-important military hardware and the defense
production industry.
Apart from that, the entire economy of the Western
capitalist bloc is based on financial institutions: the behemoth investment
banks, like JP Morgan chase, total assets $2359 billion (market capitalization:
187 billion); Citigroup, total assets $1865 billion (Market Capitalization: 141
billion); Bank of America, total assets $2210 billion (Market Capitalization:
133 billion); Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, BNP Paribas and Axa Group (France),
Deutsche Bank and Allianz Group (Germany), Barclays and HSBC (UK).
After establishing the fact that the Western economy is
mostly based on its financial services sector, we need to understand its
implications. Like I said earlier, that it takes time to build a manufacturing
base, but it is relatively easy to build and dismantle an economy based on
financial services. What if Tamim bin Hammad Al Thani (the ruler of Qatar)
decides tomorrow to withdraw his shares from Barclays and put them in some
Organization of Islamic Conference-sponsored bank, in accordance with Sharia?
What if all the sheikhs of Gulf countries withdraw their
petro-dollars from the Western financial institutions; can the fragile
financial services based Western economies sustain such a loss of investments?
In April this year the Saudi finance minister threatened that the Saudi kingdom
would sell up to $750 billion in Treasury securities and other assets if
Congress passed a bill that would allow the Saudi government to be held
responsible for any role in the September 11, 2001 terror attacks. And $750
billion is only the Saudi investment in the US, if we add its investment in
Western Europe, and the investments of UAE, Kuwait and Qatar in the Western
economies, the sum total would amount to trillions of dollars of Gulf’s
investment in the US and Western Europe.
Notwithstanding, we need to look for comparative advantages
and disadvantages here. If the vulnerable economy is their biggest weakness,
what are the biggest strengths of the Western powers? The biggest strength of
the Western capitalist bloc is its military might. We have to give credit to
the Western hawks they did which nobody else in the world had the courage to
do: that is, they privatized their defense production industry. And as we know,
that privately-owned enterprises are more innovative, efficient and in this particular
case, lethal. But having power is one thing, and using that power to achieve
certain desirable goals is another.
The Western liberal democracies are not autocracies; they
are answerable to their electorates for their deeds and misdeeds. And much to
the dismay of pragmatic, Machiavellian ruling elites, the ordinary citizens
just can’t get over their antediluvian moral prejudices. In order to overcome
this ethical dilemma, the Western political establishments wanted a moral
pretext to do what they wanted to do on pragmatic, economic grounds. That’s
when 9/11 took place: a blessing in disguise for the Western political
establishments, because the pretext of “war on terror” gave them carte blanche
powers to invade and occupy any oil-rich country in the Middle East and North
Africa region.
No wonder then that the first casualty of “war on terror”
after Afghanistan had been Iraq; and what did the corporate media tell us about
invading Iraq back in 2003? Saddam's weapons of mass “deception” and his purported
links with al Qaeda? It is only a coincidence that Iraq holds 140 billion
barrels of proven crude oil reserves and produces more than 3 million barrels
per day of crude oil.
Then again what did the Western mainstream media tell us
about the Libyan so-called "humanitarian intervention" in 2011?
Peaceful and democratic protests by the supposedly "moderate and
secular" Libyans against the Qaddafi regime and the Western responsibility
to protect the supposedly democratic revolutions and civilian lives? Once again
it is only a coincidence that Libya holds 48 billion barrels of proven oil
reserves and produces 1.6 million barrels per day of most easily extractable
crude.
Fact of the matter is that monopoly capitalism and global
neo-colonial economic and political order are the real issues, while Islamic
radicalism and terrorism are the secondary issues and itself a byproduct of the
former. That's how the mainstream media constructs artificial narratives and
dupes its audience into believing them: during the Cold War it created “the Red
Scare” and told its audience that communism is an existential threat to the
free world and the Western way of life; the mainstream media’s naïve audience
bought this narrative.
Then the Western powers and their Saudi and Pakistani
collaborators financed, trained, armed and internationally legitimized the
Afghan "freedom fighters" and used them as proxies against the Soviet
Union.
After the dissolution of the Soviet Union they declared the
former "freedom fighters" to be terrorists and another existential
threat to the free world and the Western way of life. The audience of the
corporate media again bought this narrative.
Then again, during the Libyan and Syrian civil wars the
former “terrorists” once again became freedom fighters - albeit in a more
nuanced manner, this time around the corporate media sells them as
"moderate rebels." How on earth could you label a militant holding a
gun in his hands as "moderate and peaceful?"
The way I see it, Islamic State, like its predecessor, al
Qaeda, is also a hobgoblin to create an atmosphere of fear in order to justify
an interventionist policy in the energy-rich Middle East. Islamic State in Iraq
and Syria is quite different from its so-called affiliates in remote and
disparate regions such as Libya and Sinai.
Only thing that differentiates Islamic State from other
ragtag jihadist outfits is its sophisticated weapons arsenal that has been
provided to it by NATO and bankrolled by the Gulf Arab states during the Syrian
proxy war; another factor that gives a comparative advantage to Islamic State
over other jihadist outfits is its top and mid-tier command structure, which is
comprised of professional, ex-Baathist military and intelligence officers from
Saddam era.
Any militant outfit that lacks Islamic State’s weapons
arsenal and its professional command structure cannot claim to be affiliated
with it merely on the basis of ideological affinity without any organizational
and operational link. Moreover, Islamic State is not a terror outfit like al
Qaeda; it has overrun one-third of Syria and Iraq, therefore, it’s an insurgent
organization.
In order to sustain their crumbling “war on terror”
narrative, the Western powers now make a distinction between “the green, yellow
and red terrorists” – green militants, like the Free Syria Army, whom the NATO
overtly supports; yellow jihadists, such as the Army of Conquest that includes
the Saudi-supported, hardline Islamists like Ahrar al-Sham and the
al-Qaeda-affiliate al-Nusra Front, whom the NATO covertly supports; and the red
terrorists like the Islamic State which is a by-product of the hypocritical
Western policy in Syria and Iraq.
In the last 15 years of the so-called "war on
terror" the Western powers have toppled only a single Islamist regime of
Taliban in Afghanistan and three Arab nationalist regimes -- Saddam's Baathist
regime in Iraq, Qaddafi's Afro-Arab nationalist regime in Libya and they are
now desperately trying to oust another anti-Zionist, Baathist regime of Bashar
al-Assad in Syria.
Some of the high-ranking American and British security
officials, like Dennis Blair of NSA, Eliza Manningham-Buller of MI-5 and
Alastair Crooke of MI-6, have conceded on the record that bringing down the
possibility of incidents of terrorism to a zero-level in a highly militarized
world is simply not an option.
Terrorism is only a crime, a heinous crime but a crime,
nevertheless; it is not an act of war. Those who treat it like an act of war
have ulterior motives. It is the job of the law enforcement and intelligence
agencies to prevent and minimize such incidents from taking place, however, as
the above mentioned security specialists have stated in their reports that just
like any other crime the incidents of terrorism can be brought down
significantly by implementing prudent and long-term security and foreign
policies, but complete elimination of terrorism is simply not a possibility.
Crimes like murders, thefts, robberies and rapes do occur in
all societies; in the ideal, prosperous and peaceful societies the rate of such
crimes is low, while in the impoverished and conflict-ridden societies the rate
of such crimes is high. But there will always be criminals like Anders Breivik
and Seung-Hui Cho of Virginia Tech massacre-fame who would unleash a reign of
terror in any given society.
Notwithstanding, the phenomena of militancy and insurgency
has less to do with religious extremism, as such, and more with the weak writ
of the state in the rural and tribal areas of the developing countries, which
has further been exacerbated by the deliberate weaponization of certain
militant groups by the regional and global players.
The Maoist insurgency in India, for instance, has claimed
2,866 fatalities since 2010; and they are Hindus, not Muslims. Whether it’s
Islamist or Maoist radicals, such insurgencies are only the reactions to wealth
disparity and uneven development that has mostly been limited to the urban
centers while the rural hinterland languishes in abject poverty, and the law
enforcement and the state’s security apparatus does not has a presence in the
insurgency-prone areas.
The professed ideology of the militants only plays a
secondary role compared to the primary role that has been played by the weak
central control of the developing states on their remote regions, especially if
the latter have also been ethno-linguistically or culturally different and
marginalized.
In order to prove my point that militancy has less to do
with the professed ideology or religion and more with geo-political factors,
here is a list of some of the recent non-Muslim insurgencies that I can recall
off the top of my head:
1- Tamil Tigers of Sri Lanka who also invented
suicide-bombing as a tactic of war were Hindus.
2- Myriads of Maoist, Naxalite, Naga and Bodo insurgencies
in the India’s north-east have also been Hindus.
3- The insurgency of the FARC rebels in Colombia that has
claimed hundreds of thousands of lives are Christians.
4- Joseph Kony’s Lord’s Resistance Army that operated in Uganda
had been Christians and animists.
5- South Sudan’s current president and former leader of the
rebellion against Sudan, Salva Kiir and his militant group, are Christians.
6- Then again, Riek Machar, who led a Nuer rebellion against
Salva Kiir’s Dinka tribal group since December 2013, had been Christians.
7- The Hutu-Tutsi conflict in Rwanda that claimed hundreds
of thousands of lives was a conflict between the non-Muslims.
8- All the belligerents of the Second Congo War that claimed
millions of fatalities had been Christians.
9- The anti-balaka militias that committed numerous
massacres against the minority Muslims in the Central African Republic since
2013 had been non-Muslims.
10- Finally, the Ukrainian crisis and the ensuing rebellion
that claimed thousands of lives had also been Christians.
Keeping all this evidence in mind, it becomes amply clear
that Islam as a religion is only just as peaceful or “violent” as Christianity,
Hinduism and Buddhism; and taking a cursory look at the list, it also becomes
obvious that the common denominator among all these disparate insurgencies has
not been religion.
Since most of these insurgencies have affected the
impoverished and underdeveloped regions of Asia and Africa; thus, the only
legitimate conclusion that can be drawn is that militarization and weak writ of
the developing states has primarily been responsible for breeding an assortment
of militants and insurgents in their remote rural and tribal hinterlands.
That’s the only common denominator among these otherwise unrelated list of
insurgencies.
The root factors that have primarily been responsible for
spawning militancy and insurgency anywhere in the world is not religion but
socio-economics, ethnic diversity, marginalization of the disenfranchised
ethno-linguistic and ethno-religious groups and the ensuing conflicts;
socio-cultural backwardness of the affected regions, and the weak central
control of the impoverished developing states over their territory.
After invading and occupying Afghanistan and Iraq, and when
the American “nation-building” projects failed in those hapless countries, the
US’ policy-makers immediately realized that they were facing large-scale and
popularly-rooted insurgencies against the foreign occupation, consequently, the
occupying military altered its CT (counter-terrorism) doctrines in the favor of
a COIN (counter-insurgency) strategy. A COIN strategy is essentially different
from a CT approach and it also involves dialogue, negotiations and political
settlements, alongside the coercive tactics of law enforcement and military and
paramilitary operations on a limited scale.
All the regional militant groups like the Taliban, Islamic
State, al Shabaab in Somalia and Boko Haram in Nigeria; and even some of the
ideological affiliates of al Qaeda and Islamic State, like AQAP, AQIM, Islamic
State in Afghanistan, Yemen and Libya, which have no organizational and
operational association with al Qaeda Central or the Islamic State of Iraq and
Syria, respectively, are not terror groups, as such, but Islamist insurgents
whose cherished goal is the enforcement of Shari’a in the areas of their
influence, like their progenitor, the Salafist State of Saudi Arabia.
Finally, I fail to see the reason that why do the Western
powers have been blowing the Islamist insurgencies in the Middle East out of
proportions, which have been anything but the consequence of their own
ill-conceived wars in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Yemen, Somalia and Syria? What
is it that the insurgents want and the so-called “liberal interventionists”
cannot accept as a matter of principle? Is it the enforcement of Shari’a, or
the barbaric Hudood-style executions that have earned the Taliban, Islamic
State, al Shabaab and Boko Haram the odium of the international community? If
that is the case, then why do the Western powers overlook the excesses
committed by Saudi Arabia where Shari’a is the law of the land and Hudood-style
executions are an everyday occurrence?
This contradiction speaks volumes about the sheer hypocrisy
and double standards of the Western powers: that, when it comes to securing 265
billion barrels of Saudi oil reserves and 100 billion barrels, each, of UAE and
Kuwait that together constitutes 465 billion barrels, i.e. one-third of the
world’s proven crude oil reserves, they are willing to overlook the excesses
that have been committed by such Medieval regimes but when it comes to
negotiating with the Islamist insurgents to reach political settlements and to
let up on all the violence and spilling of blood in the region, they stand firm
against the so-called “terrorists” as a matter of principle.
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