Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe and Anoosheh Ashoori, two British-Iranian nationals held in Iran since 2016 and 2017, respectively, were unexpectedly set free and were permitted immediately to travel [1] to the United Kingdom today. In return, the British government, in what gave the impression of a ransom payment, triumphantly announced it had settled a £400m debt owed to Iran from the seventies.
The thaw in the frosty relations between the Western powers
and Iran signals that a tentative understanding on reviving the Iran nuclear
deal has also been reached behind the scenes, particularly in the backdrop of
the Ukraine crisis and the Western efforts to internationally isolate Russia.
After sanctioning Russia’s 10 million barrels daily crude oil output, the
industrialized world is desperately in need of Iran’s 4 million barrels oil
production to keep the already inflated oil price from causing further pain to
consumers.
Last week, Venezuela similarly
released [2] two incarcerated US citizens in an apparent goodwill gesture
toward the Biden administration following a visit to Caracas by a high-level US
delegation, despite the fact that Washington still officially recognizes
Nicolas Maduro’s detractor Juan Guaido as Venezuela’s “legitimate president.” Nonetheless,
Venezuela is one of Latin America’s largest oil producers and opening the
international market to its heavy crude might provide a welcome relief in the
time of global oil crunch.
Niftily forestalling the likelihood of strengthening of
mutually beneficial bonds between China and Russia when the latter is badly in
need of economic relief, the United States pre-emptively accused China of
pledging to sell military hardware to Russia, when the latter, itself one of
the world’s leading arms exporters, arguably didn’t even make any such request
to China.
US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan held an intense
seven-hour meeting in Rome with his Chinese counterpart Yang Jiechi yesterday,
March 15, and warned China of “grave consequences” of evading Western sanctions
on Russia. Besides wielding the stick of economic sanctions, he must also have
dangled the carrot of ending trade war against China initiated by the Trump
administration.
Despite vowing to treat the Saudi kingdom as a “pariah” in
the run-up to Nov. 2020 presidential elections, the Wall
Street Journal reported [3] last week the White House unsuccessfully tried
to arrange calls between President Biden and the de facto leaders of Saudi
Arabia and the United Arab Emirates as the US was working to build
international support for Ukraine and contain a surge in oil prices.
“Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and the U.A.E.’s
Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed al Nahyan both declined U.S. requests to speak to Mr.
Biden in recent weeks, the officials said, as Saudi and Emirati officials have
become more vocal in recent weeks in their criticism of American policy in the
Gulf.
“‘There was some expectation of a phone call, but it didn’t
happen,’ said a U.S. official of the planned discussion between the Saudi Prince
Mohammed and Mr. Biden. ‘It was part of turning on the spigot [of Saudi oil].’
“But the Saudis and Emiratis have declined to pump more oil,
saying they are sticking to a production plan approved by OPEC. Both Prince
Mohammed and Sheikh Mohammed took phone calls from Russian President Vladimir
Putin last week, after declining to speak with Mr. Biden.”
To add insult to the injury, Saudi Arabia has reportedly
invited [4] Chinese President Xi Jinping for an official visit to the
kingdom that could happen as soon as May, and is also considering pegging its vast
oil reserves in yuan, a move that could spell end to the petrodollar hegemony.
Trump aptly observed: “Now Biden is crawling around the
globe on his knees begging and pleading for mercy from Saudi Arabia, Iran and
Venezuela.” It appears quite plausible in its relentless efforts to
internationally isolate Russia, the Biden administration is likely to unravel
the whole neocolonial economic order imposed on the world after the signing of
the Bretton Woods Accord following the Second World War in 1945.
The
Intercept reported [5] March 11 that despite staging a massive military
buildup along Russia’s border with Ukraine for nearly a year, Russian President
Vladimir Putin did not make a final decision to invade until just before he
launched the attack in February, according to senior current and former US
intelligence officials. It wasn’t until February that the agency and the rest
of the US intelligence community became convinced that Putin would invade, the
senior official added.
“Last April, US intelligence first detected that the Russian
military was beginning to move large numbers of troops and equipment to the
Ukrainian border. Most of the Russian soldiers deployed to the border at that
time were later moved back to their bases, but US intelligence determined that
some of the troops and materiel remained near the border.
“In June 2021, against the backdrop of rising tensions over
Ukraine, Biden and Putin met at a summit in Geneva. The summer troop withdrawal
brought a brief period of calm, but the crisis began to build again in October
and November, when US intelligence watched as Russia once again moved large
numbers of troops back to its border with Ukraine.”
Extending the hand of friendship, Russia significantly
drawdown its forces along the western border before the summit last June.
Instead of returning the favor, however, the conceited leadership of supposedly
world’s sole surviving super power turned down the hand of friendship and
haughtily refused to concede reasonable security guarantees demanded by Russia
at the summit that would certainly have averted the likelihood of the war.
In the 2001 census, a third of Ukraine’s over 40 million
population registered Russian as their first language. In fact, Russian
speakers constitute a majority in urban areas of industrialized eastern Ukraine
and socio-culturally identify with Russia. Ukrainian speakers are mainly found
in sparsely populated western Ukraine and in rural areas of east Ukraine.
Russian, Belarusian and Ukrainian together belong to East
Slavic family of languages and share a degree of mutual intelligibility. Thus,
Russians, Byelorussians and Ukrainians are one nation and one country whose
shared history and culture goes all the way back to the golden period of 10th
century Kyivan Rus’.
In addition, Russians and Ukrainians share Byzantine
heritage and together belong to the Greek Orthodox Church, one of the oldest
Christian denominations whose history goes all the way back to the Christ and
his apostles. Protestantism and Catholicism are products of the second
millennium after a Roman bishop of the Byzantine Empire declared himself pope
following the 1054 schism between the Orthodox and Catholic Churches.
In comparison, what do Ukrainians have in common with NATO
powers, their newfound patrons, besides the fact that humanitarian imperialists
are attempting to douse fire by pouring gasoline on Ukraine’s proxy war by
providing caches of lethal weapons to militant forces holding disenfranchised
Ukrainian masses hostage.
CNN’s national security correspondent Jim Sciutto
tweeted [6] today: “US & NATO allies are sending several surface-to-air
missiles systems to Ukraine. A senior US official tells me these systems
include Soviet-era SA-8, SA-10, SA-12 and SA-14 mobile air defense systems,
w/range higher than Stingers, giving capability to hit cruise missiles.”
Only in the last year, which was incidentally the maiden
year of the purportedly “pacifist and noninterventionist” albeit manifestly
Russophobic Biden presidency, the US has reportedly
provided [7] over 600 Stinger surface-to-air missiles and approximately
2,600 Javelin anti-armor systems to Ukraine, along with an assortment of radar
systems, helicopters, grenade launchers, guns and ammunition, and $650 million
worth military equipment.
One of Europe’s supposedly “most progressive nations” since
the fall of the Third Reich albeit still a US client, Germany alone has proudly
bragged [8] of dispatching 500 US-made surface-to-air Stinger missiles and
2,700 Soviet-era, shoulder-fired Strela missiles to Ukraine’s conscript
military and allied irregular militias.
Although the mainstream media has publicly acknowledged NATO
member states have provided a total of 2,000 surface-to-air missiles, including
Stingers, and 17,000 anti-armor munitions, including Javelins and NLAWs, to
Ukraine’s security forces, the actual number of weapons sent to Ukraine is many
times the number that has officially been admitted.
In an interview with
CBC News [9] on March 8, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg warned
that a Russian attack on the supply lines of allied nations supporting Ukraine
with arms and munitions would be a dangerous escalation of the war raging in
Eastern Europe. “Russia is the aggressor and Ukraine is defending itself. If
there is any attack against any NATO country, NATO territory, that will trigger
Article 5.”
Reminiscent of the Three Musketeers’ motto “all for one and
one for all,” Article 5 is the self-defense clause in NATO's founding treaty
which states that an attack on one member is an attack on all 30 member
nations. “I'm absolutely convinced President Putin knows this and we are
removing any room for miscalculation, misunderstanding about our commitment to
defend every inch of NATO territory,” Stoltenberg said.
NATO chief said there's a clear distinction between
supply lines within Ukraine and those operating outside its borders. “There is
a war going on in Ukraine and, of course, supply lines inside Ukraine can be
attacked,” he said. “An attack on NATO territory, on NATO forces, NATO
capabilities, that would be an attack on NATO.”
Besides deploying 15,000 additional troops in Eastern Europe
last month, total number of US troops in Europe is now expected to reach
100,000. “We have 130 jets at high alert. Over 200 ships from the high north to
the Mediterranean, and thousands of additional troops in the region,” NATO
Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg
told CNN [10].
The Russian military had not targeted weapons shipments once
they entered Ukraine, a US official told CNN, but there was some concern Russia
could begin targeting the deliveries as its assault advances.
On Sunday, March 13, Russian forces launched
a missile attack [11] at Yavoriv Combat Training Center in the western part
of the country. The military facility, less than 25 km from the Polish border,
is one of Ukraine's biggest and the largest in the western part of the country.
Since 2015, US Green Berets and National Guard troops had been training
Ukrainian forces at the Yavoriv center before they were evacuated alongside
diplomatic staff in mid-February.
The training center was hit by a barrage of roughly 30
cruise missiles launched from Russian strategic bombers, killing at least 35
people, though Russia's defense ministry claimed up to 180
foreign mercenaries [12] and a large number of foreign weapons were
destroyed at the training center. The Ukraine conflict is clearly spiraling out
of control and has the potential of dragging NATO powers into direct
confrontation with Russia, which could then lead to a catastrophic Third World
War.
Citations:
[1] Nazanin
Zaghari-Ratcliffe and Anoosheh Ashoori on way to UK:
[2] Venezuela
frees two Americans after talks with US:
[3] Saudi,
Emirati leaders decline calls with Biden amid Ukraine Crisis:
[4] Saudi
Arabia invites China's Xi to visit:
[5] US
intel says Putin made a last-minute decision to invade Ukraine:
[6] NATO sending
advanced surface-to-air missile systems to Ukraine:
[7] US
provided 600 Stingers and 2,600 Javelins to Ukraine:
[8] Germany
to ship anti-aircraft missiles to Ukraine:
[9] NATO
chief warns Russia away from attacking supply lines:
[10] Pentagon
shores up its NATO defenses in Europe:
[11] Pentagon
push to send more trainers to Ukraine was scrapped:
[12] Russian airstrike killed 180 foreign mercenaries at Yavoriv:
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