Is Israel Bombing Iran on Behalf of Gulf’s Autocrats

If circumstances get really desperate, Iran has couple of aces up its sleeve that it could play as last resort to make industrial powers feel the pain as Iran burns and Neros at G7 summit fiddle. Iran’s invaluable asset is its geo-strategic location, spanning the entire eastern coast of oil-rich Persian Gulf.

Firstly, as Iran’s astute military leadership has already indicated, Iran could enforce a temporary blockade of Strait of Hormuz from where over half of world’s oil exports pass for the duration of the conflict. This would instantly make oil prices jump over $100 a barrel and Shylocks of Western World would immediately feel the pinch.

As far as American saber-rattling is concerned, Mr. Trump should know that Iran is known to possess plenty of Russian anti-ship Onik cruise missiles, whose export version is called Brahmos in India and Amir al-Bahr, Lord of the Seas, in Perso-Arabic.

Iran has passed on several tranches of these ship-killer hypersonic missiles to Yemen’s Houthis as well, on the condition that they won’t deploy the missiles until after getting greenlight from Iran. Therefore, it would be prudent of US Navy to steer clear of Iranian and Yemeni coasts, lest its ships are sunk to the bottom of Indian Ocean.

Secondly, Iran could go for the “nuclear option,” not literally but metaphorically. May God bless Haj Qassem Soleimani with highest ranks in paradise who proved to the world that the real super power of the Middle East is none other than mighty Iran. He orchestrated the audacious attack on the Abqaiq petroleum installation and the Khurais oil field in the Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia in September 2019, which was the first major attack in the Persian Gulf against the assets of Washington and its regional allies that hampered Saudi oil production for months.

The “sacrilegious assault” on the veritable Mecca of the oil production industry was an apocalypse for the global oil industry, because the Persian Gulf holds 800 billion barrels, over half of world’s total 1,500 billion barrels crude oil reserves.

It bears mentioning that alongside deploying several thousand American troops, additional aircraft squadrons and Patriot missile batteries in Saudi Arabia in the aftermath of the Abqaiq attack, several interventionist hawks in Washington invoked the Carter Doctrine of 1980 as a ground for mounting retaliatory strikes against Iran, which states:

“Let our position be absolutely clear: an attempt by any outside force to gain control of the Persian Gulf region will be regarded as an assault on the vital interests of the United States of America, and such an assault will be repelled by any means necessary, including military force.”

Mr. Trump is an accomplished businessman, always eager to promote trade and investment, who has been duped by blood-thirsty Netanyahu fighting for his political survival. Iran is known to hold second largest oil and gas reserves in the Persian Gulf after Saudi Arabia, and its leadership has already indicated that Iran is willing to negotiate a nuclear deal. It’s a golden opportunity to make most of it. Don’t push Iran over the brink, because with the back against the wall, Iran will retaliate with all possible means at its disposal.

Mr. Trump used to be a pacifist president during the first term, and I diligently campaigned for him in both elections. But something has changed in his second term; he’s not the same antiwar politician. It seems the impeachment proceedings in the run-up to 2020 presidential elections, electoral defeat at the hands of Biden, January 2021 Capitol riots and subsequent insulting court appearances have affronted his ego and damaged him psychologically, and he is out there to get revenge.

Rumors abound that his Zionist son-in-law Jared Kushner has threatened to divorce Ivanka if Trump doesn’t unconditionally endorse Netanyahu’s vindictive policy of setting Middle East ablaze. While I empathize with Trump’s dilemma, personal affairs should be kept separate from politics. Mr. Trump couldn’t let blood-thirsty lunatic have his way simply to save the marriage of his beloved daughter.

Israel’s key rationale in bombing Iran isn’t to destroy its nuclear program, because Iranian leadership has already indicated that Iran is willing to negotiate a nuclear deal, placing curbs on its nuclear program. The Zionist regime’s central objective is to degrade Iran’s conventional warfare capabilities, specifically its drone and missile program, as Israel did in Lebanon and Syria.

While I concede replenishing Iran’s long-range missile arsenal might take some time after the bombing campaign, it won’t make Iran toothless. As I previously stated, Iran’s invaluable asset is its geo-strategic location, spanning the entire eastern coast of oil-rich Persian Gulf. The entire oil infrastructure of littoral states of Persian Gulf is only a stone’s throw away from Iran’s western coast.

Iran doesn’t need long-range missiles to mount audacious attacks on US military bases and oil infrastructure in Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait and Qatar, because simply rocket artillery would suffice to cripple global oil production for months to come. Not a drop of oil will flow outside Persian Gulf. Meanwhile, the industrial world could adjust to renewables.

Gulf’s autocrats are co-belligerents in Iran-Israel conflict. Israel has mounted a bombing campaign to degrade Iran’s conventional warfare capabilities on the behalf of Gulf’s insecure rulers. Lebanon-based Hezbollah and Baathist Assad gov’t in Syria posed a proximate threat to Israel’s regional security, both of which have already been eliminated. Iran is over 1500 km away from Israel. It takes a veritable ICBM to strike military targets in Israel.

Donald Trump made an official visit to the Gulf States in mid-May. During the visit, Gulf’s rulers pledged to invest trillions of dollars in the US economy. What did Gulf’s rulers demand in return? Obviously, they asked for providing security. What is the single biggest threat to the illegitimate rule of Gulf’s autocrats? Clearly, it’s Iran’s formidable military capabilities, a stone’s throw away across the Persian Gulf.

A month before Trump’s visit, Saudi Defense Minister Khalid bin Salman conveyed a stark warning to Iranian leadership that its time was up. A month after the visit, on Friday the 13^th of June, Israel mounted Operation Rising Mouse, targeting Iran’s military and civilian installations.

The Bedouin chieftains claiming royal descent from camel herders should know that if Iran goes down, the critical oil infrastructure in Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait and Qatar too will go up in flames. The tyrannical regimes will be toppled and replaced with genuinely representative governments of Muslim Brotherhood.

The butcher Clown Prince of Yehudi Arabia, fond of cutting down critics like Jamal Khashoggi into pieces; the son of most notorious womanizer of the era, the Emir of Abu Dhabi, pretending to be the standard-bearer of Bedouin liberalism while fueling conflicts and providing military support to Southern Separatists in Yemen, Khalifa Haftar in Libya and RSF militia in Sudan; the duplicitous Emir of Qatar, masquerading as Brotherhood patron while hosting the largest US airbase at al-Udeid, they must all pray to God the conflict ends quickly and intercede on Iran’s behalf to end the bombing campaign.

Otherwise, Iranian Fidayeen, equipped with rocket artillery and missiles, have been positioned along Iran’s entire western coast, awaiting orders from Ayatollah Khamenei to unleash barrages of drones and missiles across the Persian Gulf targeting global oil production industry selling oil as well as blood of Muslims to Shylocks of Western regimes.

The servile lackey of security establishment, the Western mainstream media, which for once has buried the hatchet and seems to have developed sudden fondness for American step-president and is depicting Trump as Christian savior for letting Israel bomb residential areas and shopping malls in Iran, is naively claiming the “inner circle” of Ayatollah Khamenei has been eliminated. There is no such thing as inner and outer circle in the Shiite Imamate. The whole of Iran is Khamenei’s inner circle, standing firmly behind Imam of the era.

Yesterday, Trump credulously boasted that Israeli and US air forces have achieved air supremacy over Iran’s airspace. Air supremacy is typically a precursor to mounting ground invasion, as in Qaddafi’s Libya in 2011. But who will dare to invade Iran, a handful Mujahideen-e-Khalq (MeK) terrorists, who are only good for mounting subversive ops in Iran on Mossad’s behalf?

US Air Force should steer clear of Iranian skies and use Jordanian or Iraqi airspace instead, if it wants to save the precious F-35 stealth aircraft. Iran doesn’t need S-300 batteries to shoot down hostile aircraft. It has bought a huge chunk of MANPADS that Pentagon provided to Ukrainian proxies and which ended up in East European arms black market. Now the IRGC has trained and equipped entire battalions skilled in using MANPADS. God, I wish divine providence had bestowed a bit of brains to Yankees instead of destructive weapons.