In June last year, the Russian Ministry of Defense claimed
that according to information, the leader of the Islamic State Abu-Bakr Al-Baghdadi
had reportedly been killed as a result of airstrikes conducted by the Russian
aircrafts on a southern suburb of Raqqa on May 28.
According to Russian claims, the airstrikes targeted a
meeting of high-ranking Islamic State leaders where Al- Baghdadi was reportedly
present. The meeting was gathered to plan exit routes for militants from Raqqa.
Apart from Al-Baghdadi, 30 field commanders and up to 300 militants were also
killed in the airstrike.
Last month, Nick Paton Walsh reported
for the CNN [1], “The Islamic State’s leader Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi was
wounded in an airstrike in May last year and had to relinquish control of the
terror group for up to five months because of his injuries, according to
several US officials who spoke exclusively to CNN.”
Now, even the mainstream media is admitting the possibility
the Russian airstrike might have incapacitated Al-Baghdadi. As the CNN report
further states: “It's believed the airstrike occurred close to the date offered
by the Russian military in June when they claimed to have killed or injured the
Islamic State leader.”
According to another
report [2] last month by Al-Jazeera, “Islamic State's leader Abu Bakr
al-Baghdadi is alive and being treated at a medical facility in northeastern
Syria after being severely wounded in an air raid, a senior Iraqi official
said.”
“The head of Islamic State sustained serious wounds to his
legs during air raids,” Abu Ali al-Basri, Iraq's intelligence and
counterterrorism department chief, was quoted last month by the Iraqi
government-run al-Sabah daily as saying. “Al-Baghdadi suffers from injuries,
diabetes and fractures to the body and legs that prevent him from walking
without assistance,” said al-Basri.
Although al-Baghdadi has not publicly appointed a successor,
two of the closest aides who have emerged as his likely successors are Iyad
al-Obeidi, his defense minister, and Ayad al-Jumaili, the in charge of
security. The latter had already reportedly been killed in an airstrike in
April last year in al-Qaim region on Iraq’s border with Syria.
Therefore, the most likely successor of al-Baghdadi would be
al-Obaidi. Both al-Jumaili and al-Obeidi had previously served as security
officers in Iraq’s Baathist army under Saddam Hussein, and al-Obeidi is known
to be the de facto deputy of al-Baghdadi.
Excluding al-Baghdadi and some of his hardline Islamist
aides, the rest of Islamic State’s top leadership is comprised of Saddam-era
military and intelligence officials. Hundreds of ex-Baathists reportedly
constitute the top and mid-tier command structure of the Islamic State who plan
all the operations and direct its military strategy.
Apart from training and arms that have been provided to
militants in the training camps located in Turkey’s and Jordan’s border regions
adjacent to Syria by the CIA in collaboration with Turkish, Jordanian and Saudi
intelligence agencies, the only other factor which contributed to the
astounding success of the Islamic State from early 2013 to August 2014 is that
its top cadres are comprised of professional military and intelligence officers
from the Saddam era.
Moreover, it is an indisputable fact that morale and
ideology play an important role in the battle, and well-informed readers must
also be aware that the Takfiri brand of most jihadists these days has directly
been inspired by the puritanical Wahhabi-Salafi ideology of Saudi Arabia, but
ideology alone is not sufficient to succeed in the battle.
Looking at the Islamic State’s spectacular gains in Syria
and Iraq from early 2013 to August 2014, a question naturally arises that where
did its recruits get all the training and state-of-the-art weapons that are
imperative not only for hit-and-run guerrilla warfare but also for capturing
and holding large swathes of territory?
The Syria experts of foreign policy think tanks also appeared
to be quite ‘worried’ when the Islamic State overran Mosul in June 2014 that
where did the Islamic State’s jihadists get all the sophisticated weapons and
especially those fancy Toyota pickup trucks mounted with machine guns at the
back, colloquially known as the ‘Technicals’ among the jihadists?
According to a revelatory December 2013 news
report [3] from a newspaper affiliated with the UAE government which
supports the Syrian opposition, it is clearly mentioned that along with
Kalashnikovs, rocket-propelled grenades and other military gear, the Saudi
regime also provided machine gun-mounted Toyota pick-up trucks to every batch
of five jihadists who had completed their training in the training camps
located in the border regions of Jordan.
Once those militants crossed over to Daraa and Quneitra in
southern Syria from the Jordan-Syria border, then those Toyota pickup trucks
could have easily traveled to the Islamic State’s former strongholds in Syria
and Iraq. Furthermore, it is clearly spelled out in the report that Syrian
militants got arms and training through a secret command center known as the
Military Operations Center (MOC) based in the intelligence headquarters’
building in Amman, Jordan, that was staffed by high-ranking military officials
from 14 countries, including the US, European nations, Israel and the Gulf Arab
States to wage a covert war against the government in Syria.
More recently, however, a report by the Conflict Armament
Research (CAR) on the Islamic State’s weapons found in Iraq and Syria has been
doing the rounds on the media during the last few months. Before the story was
picked up by the mainstream media, it was first
published [4] in the Wired News on December 12, which has a history of
spreading dubious stories and working in close collaboration with the Pentagon
and DARPA (Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency).
The Britain-based Conflict Armament Research (CAR) is a
relatively unknown company of less than 20 employees. Its one-man Iraq and
Syria division is headed by a 31-year-old Belgian researcher, Damien Spleeters.
The main theme of Spleeters’ investigation was to discover the Islamic State’s
homegrown armaments industry and how the jihadist group’s technicians have
adapted the East European munitions to be used in the weapons available to the
Islamic State. He has listed 1,832 weapons and 40,984 pieces of ammunition
recovered in Iraq and Syria in the CAR’s database.
But Spleeters has only tangentially touched upon the subject
of the Islamic State’s weapons supply chain, documenting only a single PG-9
rocket found at Tal Afar in Iraq bearing a lot number of 9,252 rocket-propelled
grenades which were supplied by Romania to the US military, and mentioning only
a single shipment of 12 tons of munitions which was diverted from Saudi Arabia
to Jordan in his supposedly ‘comprehensive report.’
In fact, the CAR’s report is so misleading that of thousands
of pieces of munitions investigated by Spleeters, less than 10% were found to
be compatible with NATO’s weapons and more than 90% were found to have
originated from Russia, China and the East European countries - Romania and
Bulgaria in particular.
By comparison, a joint investigation by the Balkan
Investigative Reporting Network (BIRN) and the Organized Crime and Corruption
Reporting Project (OCCRP) has
uncovered [5] the Pentagon’s $2.2 billion arms pipeline to the Syrian
militants. It bears mentioning, however, that $2.2 billion were earmarked only
by Washington for training and arming the Syrian rebels, and tens of billions
of dollars that Saudi Arabia and the oil-rich Gulf states have pumped into
Syria’s proxy war have not been documented by anybody so far.
More significantly, a Bulgarian investigative reporter,
Dilyana Gaytandzhieva, authored a
report [6] for Bulgaria’s national newspaper, Trud News, which found that
an Azerbaijan state airline company, Silk Way Airlines, was regularly
transporting weapons to Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Turkey
under diplomatic cover as part of the CIA covert program to supply militant
groups in Syria. Gaytandzhieva documented 350 such ‘diplomatic flights’ and was
subsequently fired from her job for uncovering the story. Unsurprisingly, both
these well-researched and groundbreaking reports didn’t even merit a passing
mention in any mainstream news outlet.
It’s worth noting, moreover, that the Syrian militant groups
are no ordinary bands of ragtag jihadist outfits. They have been trained and
armed to the teeth by their patrons in the security agencies of Washington,
Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Jordan in the training camps located at Syria’s border
regions with Turkey and Jordan.
Along with Saddam’s and Egypt’s armies, the Syrian Baathist
armed forces are one of the most capable fighting forces in the Arab world. But
the onslaught of militant groups during the first three years of the proxy war
was such that had it not been for the Russian intervention in September 2015,
the Syrian defenses would have collapsed.
The only feature that distinguishes the Syrian militants
from the rest of regional jihadist groups is not their ideology but their
weapons arsenals that were bankrolled by the Gulf’s petro-dollars and provided
by the CIA in collaboration with regional security agencies of Washington’s
traditional allies in the Middle East.
While we are on the subject of Islamic State’s weaponry, it
is generally claimed by the mainstream media that Islamic State came into
possession of state-of-the-art weapons when it overran Mosul in June 2014 and
seized huge caches of weapons that were provided to Iraq’s armed forces by
Washington.
Is this argument not a bit paradoxical, however, that
Islamic State conquered large swathes of territory in Syria and Iraq before it
overran Mosul when it supposedly did not have those sophisticated weapons, and
after allegedly coming into possession of those weapons, it lost ground?
The only conclusion that can be drawn from this fact is that
Islamic State had those weapons, or equally deadly weapons, before it overran
Mosul and that those weapons were provided to all the militant groups operating
in Syria, including the Islamic State, by the intelligence agencies of their
regional and global patrons.
Zabardast
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